South Africa vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
3 - 1
ZIM
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 1
RSA
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ALG
3 - 3
RSA
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
AND
79%
16%
6%
|
78 | 39 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 0
COD
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 1
MOZ
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
MOZ
2 - 1
SOM
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
MOZ
2 - 2
GHA
16%
25%
60%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
CPV
3 - 0
MOZ
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
EGY
2 - 2
MOZ
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | +1 |