South Africa vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.9%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
21.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
RSA
3 - 2
BOT
69%
22%
10%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
RSA
5 - 1
SWZ
70%
20%
10%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 1
LSO
71%
20%
9%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 4
RSA
16%
24%
61%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
RSA
0 - 0
CMR
36%
29%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
MTN
0 - 1
CMR
15%
25%
60%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
GAB
0 - 2
MTN
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 0
MTN
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
MTN
2 - 1
GAM
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
TUN
2 - 1
MTN
79%
16%
6%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |