South Africa vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 0
NAM
63%
22%
14%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2019 |
CIV
1 - 0
RSA
53%
24%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
GHA
0 - 0
RSA
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
RSA
0 - 0
MWI
72%
20%
9%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
UGA
1 - 1
RSA
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
CIV
45%
25%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAM
74%
18%
9%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 3
ZAM
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
GAM
77%
17%
6%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARG
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |