South Africa vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
60.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
RSA
0 - 0
JAM
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
BDI
0 - 2
RSA
7%
18%
75%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
RSA
2 - 0
MAD
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2002 |
RSA
1 - 4
SEN
47%
28%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
TAN
1 - 1
RSA
22%
26%
52%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
ENG
2 - 0
TUR
74%
18%
8%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
LIE
0 - 2
ENG
5%
18%
77%
|
98 | 13 | 85 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
ENG
1 - 3
AUS
73%
19%
8%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
ENG
2 - 2
MKD
92%
7%
1%
|
98 | 73 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
SVK
1 - 2
ENG
18%
24%
58%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |