South Africa vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
GHA
1 - 0
RSA
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 0
ZIM
66%
22%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 0
ETH
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ETH
1 - 3
RSA
18%
23%
59%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 0
GHA
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
GUI
0 - 1
GAM
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
ZIM
2 - 1
GUI
20%
24%
56%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
SEN
0 - 0
GUI
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 0
MWI
78%
16%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2022 |
RWA
0 - 2
GUI
20%
24%
56%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |