South Africa vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
38%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
RSA
0 - 2
ALG
61%
25%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
RSA
2 - 1
ZIM
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
RSA
2 - 0
KEN
74%
18%
8%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
RSA
2 - 0
NIG
86%
10%
3%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
GHA
1 - 2
RSA
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
3 - 1
UGA
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
5 - 1
KEN
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
3 - 0
BDI
89%
8%
3%
|
89 | 50 | 39 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
1 - 0
UGA
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
5 - 1
TAN
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |