South Africa vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2002 |
RSA
1 - 0
ANG
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
RSA
1 - 0
EGY
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
SWE
3 - 0
RSA
89%
9%
2%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
MWI
1 - 0
RSA
18%
23%
60%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
MOZ
0 - 3
RSA
11%
22%
68%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
BFA
2 - 1
ZAM
25%
25%
51%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2002 |
EGY
2 - 2
BFA
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2002 |
BFA
1 - 3
CMR
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2001 |
MLI
2 - 1
BFA
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
SEN
2 - 4
BFA
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |