South Africa vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.3%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.4%
84.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
19.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.6%
0-3
15.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
18.6%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.2%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
GER
3 - 0
RSA
93%
6%
2%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1997 |
FRA
2 - 1
RSA
93%
6%
1%
|
81 | 97 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
RSA
1 - 0
CGO
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
RSA
3 - 0
ZAM
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1997 |
RSA
0 - 2
NED
8%
18%
74%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1997 |
BRA
3 - 0
WAL
86%
10%
4%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1997 |
BRA
2 - 0
MAR
88%
9%
3%
|
99 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
BRA
4 - 2
ECU
87%
10%
3%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1997 |
JPN
0 - 3
BRA
13%
21%
67%
|
99 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
KOR
1 - 2
BRA
13%
22%
66%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |