South Africa vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SEN
2 - 1
RSA
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
MUS
2 - 0
RSA
9%
18%
74%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
TUN
2 - 0
RSA
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
EGY
2 - 1
RSA
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
RSA
2 - 1
CRC
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 1
BEN
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 0
BEN
87%
10%
3%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
BEN
3 - 2
MAD
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
MAD
1 - 1
BEN
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2003 |
GAB
4 - 0
BEN
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |