South Africa vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
62.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
RSA
2 - 0
ZIM
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1995 |
RSA
2 - 0
EGY
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
RSA
2 - 2
ZAM
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
RSA
3 - 2
MOZ
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
RSA
1 - 1
ARG
9%
20%
71%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
GER
3 - 1
BGR
78%
14%
8%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
WAL
1 - 2
GER
28%
27%
45%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
GER
6 - 1
MDA
93%
5%
1%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
GER
4 - 1
GEO
93%
6%
2%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1995 |
BEL
1 - 2
GER
56%
23%
21%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |