South Africa vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
MWI
0 - 0
RSA
11%
20%
69%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 2
ZAM
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 1
SWZ
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 1
BOT
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
NAM
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
NAM
0 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
NAM
1 - 2
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
NAM
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
BDI
3 - 2
NAM
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
NAM
2 - 1
CMR
25%
28%
47%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |