South Africa vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
RSA
1 - 1
CIV
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
RSA
0 - 0
ANG
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
NAM
3 - 2
RSA
11%
21%
68%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1997 |
URU
4 - 3
RSA
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1997 |
UAE
1 - 0
RSA
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1998 |
ANG
3 - 3
NAM
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1998 |
CIV
4 - 3
NAM
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
BFA
3 - 1
NAM
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1998 |
NIG
2 - 1
NAM
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1998 |
NAM
3 - 2
RSA
11%
21%
68%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | +1 |