South Africa vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 1
ZAM
51%
27%
23%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
RSA
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
MOZ
73%
19%
8%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
RSA
85%
11%
4%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
RSA
3 - 0
GAB
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MWI
0 - 1
GHA
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GHA
2 - 0
MWI
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
MWI
2 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MWI
1 - 1
NGA
21%
30%
49%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
KEN
0 - 0
MWI
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |