South Africa vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RSA
2 - 0
ZAM
49%
28%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 1
ANG
62%
24%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 1
RSA
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
RSA
0 - 2
SEN
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
RSA
3 - 1
BFA
54%
27%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 0
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2018 |
SYC
1 - 1
MAD
13%
22%
65%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 1
MOZ
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
XXK
1 - 0
MAD
56%
21%
23%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
TOG
0 - 0
MAD
37%
26%
36%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |