South Africa vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 0
SWZ
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 0
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
RSA
3 - 2
UGA
59%
25%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SDN
2 - 0
RSA
16%
22%
63%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 1
GHA
37%
29%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BOT
4 - 0
LSO
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
ZAM
1 - 2
LSO
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
SWZ
3 - 1
LSO
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
LSO
0 - 1
SWZ
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
NGA
3 - 0
LSO
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |