CHAN Segunda Ronda Final
Global 2-6
South Africa vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
12%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
14.5%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.1%
6.5%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LSO
3 - 2
RSA
8%
17%
75%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
NGA
2 - 1
RSA
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
EGY
0 - 1
RSA
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
RSA
0 - 1
MAR
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 0
NAM
63%
22%
14%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
LSO
3 - 2
RSA
8%
17%
75%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
LSO
2 - 2
ZIM
14%
23%
63%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2019 |
LSO
1 - 2
BOT
29%
29%
41%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
LSO
0 - 0
UGA
18%
26%
56%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CPV
0 - 0
LSO
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |