South Africa vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
GAM
0 - 4
RSA
16%
24%
61%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
RSA
0 - 0
CMR
36%
29%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CMR
2 - 2
RSA
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 0
ANG
54%
27%
19%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 3
RSA
27%
28%
45%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
MWI
0 - 1
LSO
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
LSO
66%
21%
12%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
3 - 0
MUS
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
LSO
1 - 2
ETH
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
LSO
56%
25%
20%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |