South Africa vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
RSA
0 - 0
JPN
20%
26%
55%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
RSA
0 - 1
MOZ
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
RSA
1 - 1
ZIM
68%
20%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
RSA
2 - 0
ANG
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
ISL
1 - 0
RSA
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
KNA
0 - 1
JAM
12%
21%
67%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2009 |
ECU
0 - 0
JAM
65%
22%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
SLV
0 - 1
JAM
31%
25%
45%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
JAM
0 - 1
CRC
24%
23%
54%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 0
JAM
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |