South Africa vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
SSD
2 - 3
RSA
7%
16%
77%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
RSA
2 - 2
UGA
62%
24%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 0
SWZ
73%
19%
9%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 0
BOT
72%
20%
9%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
MOZ
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
UGA
2 - 0
CGO
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
CGO
1 - 0
SSD
63%
20%
16%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
CGO
0 - 6
MAR
10%
22%
68%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
GAB
1 - 1
CGO
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ZAM
4 - 2
CGO
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |