South Africa vs Cape Verde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 0
ALG
55%
27%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 1
NOR
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
3 - 1
MWI
71%
20%
9%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 1
ZAM
51%
27%
23%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
POL
1 - 0
RSA
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
CPV
0 - 0
NGA
25%
29%
46%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CPV
0 - 1
GHA
25%
27%
48%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CMR
2 - 1
CPV
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CPV
2 - 0
CMR
23%
28%
50%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
CPV
3 - 1
MAD
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |