South Africa vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
MOZ
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
RSA
3 - 1
ZIM
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
NGA
1 - 1
RSA
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ALG
3 - 3
RSA
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
AND
79%
16%
6%
|
79 | 39 | 40 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
SWZ
0 - 0
BOT
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
SOM
1 - 3
BOT
15%
22%
64%
|
58 | 30 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
UGA
1 - 0
BOT
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 0
BOT
39%
27%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
RWA
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |