South Africa vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
4 - 0
SLE
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 4
ANG
60%
25%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ANG
2 - 0
RSA
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 0
COM
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
COM
0 - 1
RSA
6%
16%
78%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 1
BOT
41%
27%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
MAD
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SWZ
2 - 2
BOT
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
SWZ
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
2 - 1
BOT
71%
20%
9%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |