South Africa vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 2
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 0
MOZ
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
RSA
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
FRA
5 - 0
RSA
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
RSA
0 - 0
GUI
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
SWZ
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
ZAM
1 - 1
BOT
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
ANG
24%
29%
47%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
COM
0 - 1
BOT
23%
28%
50%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
SYC
0 - 1
BOT
12%
24%
64%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |