South Africa vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
8.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
RSA
3 - 2
UGA
59%
25%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
SDN
2 - 0
RSA
16%
22%
63%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
RSA
1 - 1
GHA
37%
29%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
STP
2 - 4
RSA
6%
15%
79%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
RSA
2 - 0
STP
86%
11%
3%
|
79 | 38 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
ALG
5 - 0
BOT
84%
12%
4%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
ZIM
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
ZAM
17%
25%
58%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ZAM
2 - 1
BOT
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
ALG
13%
24%
63%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |