South Africa vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LBY
1 - 2
RSA
24%
26%
51%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 1
PAR
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 1
NGA
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SYC
0 - 0
RSA
6%
15%
79%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
RSA
6 - 0
SYC
85%
12%
3%
|
81 | 37 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
SYC
1 - 3
BOT
14%
21%
65%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 0
SYC
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
ANG
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MTN
2 - 1
BOT
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
BOT
0 - 0
BFA
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |