South Africa vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 4
RSA
20%
24%
55%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
RSA
0 - 0
MAD
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RSA
2 - 0
ZAM
49%
28%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 1
ANG
62%
24%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
SEN
2 - 1
RSA
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
SWZ
0 - 2
BOT
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ZIM
1 - 1
BOT
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
BOT
6 - 0
MUS
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
MWI
1 - 1
BOT
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 1
ANG
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |