South Africa vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
RSA
2 - 1
MOZ
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 0
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
4 - 0
SLE
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 4
ANG
60%
25%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ANG
2 - 0
RSA
23%
25%
52%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 0
BOT
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 4
ANG
60%
25%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ANG
2 - 0
RSA
23%
25%
52%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ANG
1 - 0
MUS
83%
13%
4%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 2
ANG
9%
20%
71%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |