South Africa vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
RSA
3 - 1
GNB
79%
16%
6%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
MOZ
1 - 1
RSA
12%
22%
66%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
RSA
2 - 1
SEN
41%
29%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
RSA
1 - 1
GHA
41%
29%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BFA
1 - 1
RSA
22%
25%
53%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MOZ
2 - 0
ANG
25%
26%
50%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 1
ANG
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 1
MAD
59%
24%
16%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
MUS
73%
19%
9%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
LSO
66%
21%
12%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |