South Africa vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
HND
1 - 1
RSA
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
CRC
0 - 1
RSA
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 0
SEN
39%
29%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MTN
3 - 1
RSA
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
MUS
0 - 2
RSA
10%
20%
70%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAD
0 - 0
ANG
19%
25%
57%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 0
SWZ
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
SWZ
2 - 2
ANG
15%
24%
61%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
RSA
2 - 1
ANG
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
ANG
4 - 0
CTA
83%
13%
4%
|
72 | 15 | 57 | 0 |