South Africa vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 1
BOT
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 0
MOZ
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
RSA
2 - 0
CAN
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
RSA
0 - 1
USA
18%
28%
55%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
RSA
4 - 3
ZAM
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
ANG
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ANG
3 - 3
EGY
27%
30%
43%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
ANG
0 - 3
GUI
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
ANG
2 - 1
CIV
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
KEN
2 - 1
ANG
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |