South Africa vs Angola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
RSA
3 - 0
CMR
48%
27%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1995 |
RSA
0 - 0
GER
14%
24%
62%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
RSA
2 - 0
ZIM
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1995 |
RSA
2 - 0
EGY
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
RSA
2 - 2
ZAM
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Angola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1996 |
ANG
1 - 2
EGY
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1994 |
ANG
2 - 1
GAB
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
TOG
0 - 1
ANG
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1993 |
ZIM
2 - 1
ANG
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1993 |
ANG
0 - 0
EGY
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |