Sri Lanka vs Turkmenistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
69.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
LKA
3 - 0
MAC
45%
21%
33%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 0
LKA
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
LAO
2 - 2
LKA
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
LAO
2 - 1
LKA
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
LKA
1 - 4
MAS
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
UGA
0 - 0
TKM
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
OMA
3 - 1
TKM
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TKM
0 - 4
UZB
15%
21%
63%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
JPN
3 - 2
TKM
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 2018 |
AFG
0 - 2
TKM
18%
19%
63%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |