Sri Lanka vs Turkmenistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
69.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
LKA
2 - 2
IDN
14%
19%
68%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
IDN
1 - 0
LKA
83%
12%
6%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
LKA
0 - 1
KSA
2%
15%
83%
|
45 | 88 | 43 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
TKM
2 - 0
LKA
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
LKA
3 - 0
LAO
53%
22%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
TKM
0 - 1
KSA
11%
22%
67%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2004 |
TKM
0 - 1
UZB
18%
20%
62%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2004 |
TKM
2 - 3
IRQ
12%
18%
70%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
KSA
2 - 2
TKM
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
KSA
3 - 0
TKM
86%
10%
3%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |