Sri Lanka vs Seychelles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
50.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
LKA
4 - 4
MDV
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MDV
1 - 0
LKA
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
LKA
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
LKA
2 - 3
NPL
21%
23%
56%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
LKA
0 - 1
BGD
28%
25%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
BGD
1 - 1
SYC
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
COM
7 - 1
SYC
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SYC
0 - 1
SSD
25%
21%
54%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
SSD
2 - 1
SYC
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
RWA
7 - 0
SYC
76%
17%
7%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | -1 |