WC Qual. Asia Primera Ronda Final
Global 0-6
Sri Lanka vs Catar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
67.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2007 |
LKA
2 - 1
MAS
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
LKA
1 - 4
MAS
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
HTI
2 - 1
LKA
84%
12%
5%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
HTI
3 - 1
LKA
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
LKA
0 - 4
TJK
27%
25%
49%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
QAT
3 - 2
IRQ
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2007 |
QAT
1 - 1
OMA
44%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2007 |
QAT
1 - 2
UAE
52%
23%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2007 |
VIE
1 - 1
QAT
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2007 |
JPN
1 - 1
QAT
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |