Sri Lanka vs Pakistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
LKA
2 - 1
TWN
48%
23%
28%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
LKA
5 - 1
BRN
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
LKA
1 - 1
MDV
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2008 |
NPL
3 - 0
LKA
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
LKA
1 - 3
MMR
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pakistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2009 |
BRN
0 - 6
PAK
53%
22%
24%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
PAK
1 - 1
TWN
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
MAS
4 - 1
PAK
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
PAK
1 - 4
NPL
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2008 |
IND
2 - 1
PAK
71%
19%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |