Sri Lanka vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
LKA
0 - 1
BGD
28%
25%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
LKA
0 - 5
KOR
7%
17%
76%
|
27 | 88 | 61 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
LBN
3 - 2
LKA
82%
13%
4%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
TKM
2 - 0
LKA
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
LKA
0 - 3
LBN
9%
18%
73%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
NPL
1 - 0
MDV
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NPL
2 - 7
OMA
5%
17%
78%
|
37 | 79 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
NPL
1 - 2
IND
18%
23%
60%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
NPL
1 - 1
IND
16%
22%
62%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
NPL
0 - 3
AUS
6%
15%
79%
|
38 | 87 | 49 | -1 |