Sri Lanka vs Malaysia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
BGD
0 - 1
LKA
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
LKA
0 - 2
LTU
11%
20%
70%
|
27 | 63 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
LKA
1 - 1
MAC
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MNG
2 - 0
LKA
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
LKA
1 - 2
LAO
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
KHM
1 - 3
MAS
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
TWN
2 - 0
MAS
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
MAS
1 - 0
FIJ
35%
26%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
LBN
2 - 1
MAS
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
MAS
2 - 2
MNG
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |