Sri Lanka vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
51.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1972 |
MAS
4 - 1
LKA
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1972 |
SGP
3 - 1
LKA
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1972 |
LKA
3 - 1
LAO
60%
20%
20%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 1972 |
MMR
4 - 2
LKA
81%
12%
8%
|
34 | 74 | 40 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1972 |
MAS
3 - 0
LKA
83%
12%
5%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1971 |
KOR
2 - 1
JPN
44%
23%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
JPN
5 - 1
TWN
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1971 |
JPN
8 - 1
PHL
75%
13%
12%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1971 |
MAS
3 - 0
JPN
31%
22%
47%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1971 |
ISL
0 - 2
JPN
29%
22%
50%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | +1 |