Asian Cup Qualification Playoffs Final
Global 2-2
Sri Lanka vs Camboya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
48.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
BRN
1 - 0
LKA
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BRN
1 - 0
LKA
31%
20%
49%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BTN
0 - 2
LKA
38%
21%
41%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
LKA
0 - 0
PNG
25%
20%
55%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
LKA
1 - 1
YEM
12%
20%
68%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Camboya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
MNG
2 - 1
KHM
29%
19%
52%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
KHM
2 - 0
MNG
52%
20%
28%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
KHM
1 - 4
GUY
13%
19%
69%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
KHM
0 - 2
EQG
9%
17%
74%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
QAT
3 - 0
KHM
89%
9%
2%
|
30 | 81 | 51 | 0 |