WC Qual. Asia Final
Global 1-3
Sri Lanka vs Bután analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
BGD
1 - 0
LKA
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
BGD
1 - 1
LKA
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
SYC
3 - 0
LKA
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
MDV
10 - 0
LKA
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
AFG
1 - 0
LKA
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bután
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
AFG
3 - 0
BTN
74%
16%
9%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NPL
2 - 1
BTN
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
NPL
1 - 0
BTN
77%
15%
9%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
PAK
7 - 0
BTN
71%
17%
13%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LKA
6 - 0
BTN
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |