Sri Lanka vs Maldives analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
57.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MDV
1 - 0
LKA
77%
15%
9%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
LKA
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
LKA
2 - 3
NPL
21%
23%
56%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
LKA
0 - 1
BGD
28%
25%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
LKA
0 - 5
KOR
7%
17%
76%
|
27 | 88 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Maldives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
IND
3 - 1
MDV
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MDV
1 - 0
LKA
77%
15%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
MDV
2 - 0
BGD
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
NPL
1 - 0
MDV
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
PHL
1 - 1
MDV
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |