Sri Lanka vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
64.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2001 |
LKA
0 - 3
THA
8%
15%
77%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2001 |
PAK
3 - 3
LKA
61%
19%
20%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2001 |
LBN
4 - 0
LKA
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
THA
4 - 2
LKA
90%
7%
2%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2001 |
SCG
6 - 0
LKA
85%
11%
4%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2001 |
PAK
1 - 8
LBN
17%
24%
59%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2001 |
LBN
1 - 2
THA
29%
24%
47%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2001 |
LBN
4 - 0
LKA
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
LBN
6 - 0
PAK
81%
14%
6%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
LBN
3 - 0
PHL
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 26 | 42 | 0 |