WC Qual. Asia 1ra Ronda Final
Global 1-5
Sri Lanka vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
NPL
0 - 0
LKA
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LKA
0 - 1
AFG
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
PRK
4 - 0
LKA
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 75 | 33 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
LKA
0 - 2
TJK
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LKA
2 - 2
TJK
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
BGD
0 - 3
PHL
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
PHL
0 - 0
PLE
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
MMR
1 - 1
PHL
50%
22%
27%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
MNG
2 - 1
PHL
26%
22%
53%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
PHL
2 - 0
MNG
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |