Somalia vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
71.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NER
3 - 0
SOM
71%
17%
12%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TZA
2 - 1
SOM
83%
13%
4%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 1
TZA
9%
20%
71%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SWZ
2 - 1
SOM
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SOM
0 - 3
SWZ
10%
18%
72%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
GNB
2 - 1
SLE
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SLE
2 - 3
NGA
15%
24%
62%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
STP
0 - 2
SLE
14%
19%
67%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
SLE
2 - 2
STP
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
COD
3 - 0
SLE
65%
21%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |