WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Semi-finals
Global 0-6
Somalia vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
ETH
5 - 0
SOM
77%
16%
8%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SOM
0 - 0
ETH
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
DJI
1 - 0
SOM
50%
21%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
ZAM
6 - 0
SOM
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 78 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
TAN
3 - 0
SOM
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
NIG
84%
12%
4%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
NIG
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
NIG
1 - 0
NAM
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
NIG
2 - 1
GAB
23%
26%
52%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
MTN
2 - 0
NIG
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |