Somalia vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
63.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
MOZ
2 - 1
SOM
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SWZ
2 - 2
SOM
67%
19%
14%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
SOM
0 - 3
SWZ
16%
20%
65%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SOM
0 - 1
UGA
10%
18%
72%
|
30 | 66 | 36 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
ALG
3 - 1
SOM
92%
6%
1%
|
31 | 85 | 54 | -1 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
UGA
1 - 0
BOT
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 0
BOT
39%
27%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 0
RWA
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
MOZ
32%
27%
42%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
GUI
15%
22%
63%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |