Serbia vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
DEN
0 - 0
SRB
61%
22%
18%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
SVN
1 - 1
SRB
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SRB
0 - 1
ENG
19%
21%
60%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SWE
0 - 3
SRB
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
AUT
2 - 1
SRB
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
ENG
57%
21%
22%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
FRA
56%
22%
23%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
GER
58%
20%
22%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
4 - 1
GEO
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 1
ESP
4%
12%
84%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |