Serbia vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
SRB
2 - 0
SWE
22%
28%
51%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ROU
2 - 3
SRB
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
SRB
0 - 1
UKR
34%
31%
35%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
CYP
0 - 2
SRB
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SRB
0 - 1
POL
21%
26%
53%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
AUT
2 - 1
ROU
30%
27%
43%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
AUT
0 - 2
SWE
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
AUT
2 - 4
TUR
42%
27%
32%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
AUT
1 - 3
SRB
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
FRO
1 - 1
AUT
12%
19%
69%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |