Serbia vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
10.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
SRB
1 - 0
BEL
16%
23%
61%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
POL
1 - 1
SRB
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
SRB
1 - 0
AZE
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
CZE
1 - 3
SRB
94%
5%
1%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1996 |
SRB
1 - 1
SYR
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +4 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ARM
0 - 0
FIN
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
ARM
0 - 1
BEL
12%
21%
68%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
CYP
2 - 0
ARM
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
ROU
2 - 0
ARM
93%
6%
1%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
AND
0 - 3
ARM
25%
23%
52%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |